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Press Conference (March 30, 2000)

 

EPHEDRA EDUCATION COUNCIL

COUNCIL FOR RESPONSIBLE NUTRITION


BRIEFING THE MEDIA ON THE SAFETY OF EPHEDRA

 

THE NATIONAL PRESS CLUB OF WASHINGTON, D.C.

THE LISAGOR ROOM

WASHINGTON, D.C.

THURSDAY, MARCH 30, 2000

10:00 AM

 

Transcript by:
Federal News Service
Washington, D.C.


Dr. Norbert Page


Dr. Theodore M. Farber (Left)
Dr. John N. Hathcock (Right)

MR. SIEGNER: Good morning and welcome. My name is Wes Siegner, I'm a partner at the law firm of Hyman, Phelps & McNamara. This briefing for the media is to discuss the FDA's, the Food and Drug Administration's upcoming release of new adverse event reports concerning dietary supplements that contain ephedra. Ephedra is an herb that has been used for 5,000 years in China and is currently and widely distributed in the United States primarily for weight loss, energy and other purposes.

Before I move on, I want to very briefly explain a couple of terms and the experts can deal with this later. But you'll hear some terms today: ephedra, ephedrine, ephedrine alkaloids and ephedra alkaloids. And I just want to explain to you what that is.

Ephedra is, as I said, an herb. Ephedra contains ephedrine alkaloids, which include ephedrine, pseudoephedrine and other alkaloids that are naturally found in plant materials. In the early 1900s, medical uses for ephedrine were discovered and the original ephedrine was extracted from the plant. Since then, companies learned to synthetically manufacture ephedrine. So the ephedrine that is today present in over-the-counter drugs is actually the chemically synthetic ephedrine. There are significant differences between the ephedra and chemically synthetic ephedrine.

This briefing is sponsored by the Ephedra Education Council, which is a newly formed group, and the Council for Responsible Nutrition, which has been in existence since 1973. The Ephedra Education Council is composed of members of the Ephedra Committee of American Herbal Products Association.

The Council for Responsible Nutrition I'm sure many of you are familiar with. They represent more than 100 companies in the dietary supplement industry.

Now the focus of the briefing today is again this release of adverse event reports tomorrow by the Food and Drug Administration. We understand that FDA has collected adverse events over a period from June of 1997 to March of 1999, and that they have collected approximately 140 adverse event reports that they believe are connected in some way to the consumption, or may be connected in some way to the consumption of ephedra.

Measured against the rising sales of these products, what is the scientific meaning of these adverse event reports? That is what we want to discuss today. It is not our purpose to debate the need for appropriate regulations of ephedra products. Everyone agrees, including industry, that there's a need for appropriate regulations, including serving limits and recommendations against the use of these products by minors. Everyone agrees that we need vigilant enforcement by the Food and Drug Administration of today's existing laws.

The primary issue here is the safety of ephedra when it's appropriately labeled and properly consumed. And that's an issue that both the FDA and industry have vehemently disagreed over for several years now.

Tomorrow's news will raise questions in the minds of millions of consumers about the safety of ephedra. Our panel of experts has been assembled so that we can educate the press and you can educate the public as to the real issues pertaining to these products and the meaning of these adverse event reports.

Before turning to the panel I thought I could give you a little background information of what brought us here today. In 1997, FDA published a proposed rule to regulate ephedra products. And that rule's really been the subject of several years of controversy. The rule sought to impose very drastic limits on serving amounts for ephedra products, also drastic limitations on the duration of use of these products, limiting to seven days of use, and also sought to prohibit the use of these products for weight loss.

Essentially, in industry's view, this proposal amounted to a ban on ephedra products and the entire ephedra category. FDA, in its preamble to the proposed rule, stated that the primary basis for the proposed rule was the over-800 adverse event reports that the FDA had collected over a period of several years. FDA also stated in the preamble to the proposed rule that it had relied on just 13 of those over-800 reports in order to set a serving limit for these products. It's the validity of this approach that we will address here today.

In 1999, the General Accounting Office issued a report that was highly critical of the scientific basis for FDA's proposed rule. The GAO found that there really was no scientific basis for using the adverse event reports in the way that FDA had used, particularly with respect to the use of the 13 to set the serving limits. As a result of this and other actions, FDA last month announced that it was going to withdraw the dose and duration limits from the current proposed rule. And we expect that tomorrow in the Federal Register FDA will formalize that announcement.

I want to be clear that industry has sought a different path than what we're seeing here in terms of how industry and FDA are working together. We tried to encourage FDA to work cooperatively with industry to give industry the adverse event reports so that industry could have a thorough and scientific review of those reports done and given to FDA before FDA went forward and issued an analysis to the public.

FDA has declined to work with industry in that way. Instead, in an approach that I believe shows clearly that there is really no significant public health issue here, FDA has chosen to withhold the adverse event reports from the public and industry for more than two years and to go forward and do its own analysis of those adverse event reports and release it to the public. And that's what we're expecting will occur tomorrow. Industry's cooperative approach was supported by all of the major trade associations of the dietary supplement industry, also by the U.S. Small Business Administration and several members of Congress. And you have materials in your packet concerning those issues.

Millions of consumers have safely used ephedra products over the years. What you will hear today from these scientific experts is again, the meaning of these adverse event reports. And I think we have with us people, experts who can explain as well as anyone what the scientific meaning of these reports really is. You will also hear today why experts who have reviewed all of the scientific data objectively believe that when you use ephedra properly and the product is appropriately labeled according to industry standards that this product is safe.

Now, that's the easy part of my job. The next part of my job, which is holding these fellows to time limits so that you can all ask questions at the end, is the most difficult part. But I would like to introduce them all.

Next to me here is John Hathcock, who is the vice president of Nutritional Regulatory Affairs at the Council for Responsible Nutrition. John has a very extensive background in toxicology and was formerly at the Food and Drug Administration. Again, you have materials in your packet, so I'm not going to go into detailed explanations of their background here.

Ted Farber and his partner, Norbert Page, are both principals in a toxicology firm called ToxaChemica International. Ted also has extensive experience in government service with both FDA as a toxicologist and the Environmental Protection administration, as does Norbert Page. Norbert is also a toxicologist and has over 30 years of experience in this area.

Without further delay, let me introduce John Hathcock, who is going to give some background on what AERs are and what AERs are not.

MR. HATHCOCK: Thank you, Wes, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen.

In order to look at the AERs that are coming out, in order to give them some meaning with regard to the overall body of evidence, it's very important to recognize what AERs are and also just as important to recognize what they are not.

An AER is simply a case report, one case report that comes into the Food and Drug Administration. And it can come from a consumer, from a physician, or from other sources. The contents of the AERs, as they've been received by the FDA, can vary greatly, from very terse, sparse, to voluminous and often sometimes within that voluminous content, repetitive.

The ability of delivery of detail, crucial detail varies greatly, not depending on volume, but instead simply on whether the particular investigator -- physician or other individual -- happened to address the crucial technical issues that are necessary in order to give them meaning.

The FDA's AERs -- adverse event reports -- for dietary supplements, in general, and for ephedras in particular, simply accumulates whatever reports it receives. And it does not send them through any additional professional screening for content, for clarity, for completeness or for continuity of the logic. The AER system itself, what it is, is it's very faulty and it needs -- it is in great need of repair. The Food and Drug Administration has asked for a large increase in funding to help solve some of its problems. These requests for fundings to fix the AER system have come from Commissioner Henney and from Center Director Levitt.

Also the General Accounting Office has recognized that in this report from last summer already mentioned by Wes that the system has numerous shortcomings and limitations.

What the AERs are not is just as important to recognize. Often the AERs do not answer such basic questions as -- some of them do not tell the signs or symptoms that were the basis of the complaint. They simply say it was an adverse event, generalizing without being specific.

Often an AER will not answer the question what is the gender and age of the person involved in the incident? Some are missing information about the product and the manufacturer of the product. Some are missing information. Many of them are missing information about the dose, frequency and duration of consumption. Many of them do not address the issue of about whether the individual involved in the event had pre-existing health conditions that may have precipitated alone or added to the susceptibility to adverse events. Many of the AERs do not address whether the person was consuming some other product or ingredient or substance that could have caused the event or added to the likelihood of an adverse event coming out.

No matter how voluminous or complete an individual AER might be, or even if they all were very detailed and complete, AERs are not by themselves a sufficient basis for doing a safety evaluation of a product or an ingredient. Because of their basic nature, they cannot establish a cause and effect relationship between the product and an adverse event. And they are not adequate for a risk assessment; that is for a quantitative assessment of the relationship. And in that regard, I would direct you to the caveats, disclaimers, that FDA puts into its website under the Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, its AER website. If you go into that and do a search for any ingredient, the first thing pops up is a box of limitations on use of the AERs. And one of those basically says you cannot -- we have that as a handout, so I invite you to look at that in some detail.

At best, AERs represent only one-half of a case-controlled study as an epidemiological scientist would describe it. What's missing in the AERs is the comparison to the populations who did not consume the products: what was the disease or event rate in that population and how does it compare? And is there any evidence whatever for causality?

In summary, then, I would say that a full risk assessment for safety evaluation of a substance must address all relevant available scientific evidence including clinical trials, metabolic studies, published case reports, as well as the FDA's AER system. All evidence from all those sources should also be subjected to the causality criteria that's been established by the National Academy of Sciences.

Thank you.

MR. SIEGNER: Thank you, John. Our next speaker is Ted Farber. He is going to talk briefly about the 1997 proposal and the use of the AERs in support of that proposal, and also the General Accounting -- the GAO report. Ted.

MR. FARBER: Thank you, Wes. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen.

If you would refer to the folder that you have from the Ephedra Education Council, I'm going to refer you to some handouts that I have in the folder. The first handout is entitled "Docket 923 AERs."

Over a year and a half ago, Wes Siegner of the law firm of Hyman, Phelps & McNamara asked our firm to analyze the adverse effects database assembled by Food and Drug in regards to ephedra containing herbal products. This AER database comes from an unfiltered telephone hotline set up by the Food and Drug Administration to receive largely anecdotal information, primarily from non-medical sources. Approximately 20 percent of the reports in this database were actively recruited by the Department of Health down in the state of Texas and largely cover one product which has been removed from the marketplace several years ago.

Now based largely on these AERs, as Wes had indicated, the FDA issued a proposed rule that has -- would have effectively removed ephedra-containing dietary supplements from the marketplace. My partner and I, Dr. Norbert Page and myself, have spent over 700 hours carefully examining each and every report in the AER database. And I would like to share with you some of the facts in terms of the almost total inadequacy and worthlessness of this database.

If you look at the first page of the handout, you can see how the analysis of these 923 AERs lays out. Fifteen of the products could not even be identified. There was no name associated with the product. And 13 percent of the AERs are involved with a product that does not contain any ephedra at all.

Almost 72 percent of the AERs were devoid of medical records. In addition to that, there were significant deficiencies in regards to dose level reporting, dose frequency reporting and duration reporting. And not attempting to double-count in some of these situations, the bottom line is that 85 percent of the database is worthless, inadequate in terms of doing a causality analysis. In fact, it's even higher than 85 percent, because we accepted just a one-line sentence from a physician or a single paragraph from a hospital as a medical record.

Now, what about the adequacies of using this kind of database for doing epidemiological projections and doing a causality analysis? If you refer to the second page of my handouts, these are official FDA caveats that appear in the docket associated with the AERs. And I've emphasized the last two items there in regards to the worthwhileness of the database. It states: "Accumulated case reports should not be used to calculate incidence or estimates of product risk. And occurrence or incidence rates cannot be derived from AERs, only reporting rates."

The third page of my handout actually shows you that in violation of their own caveats and accepted principles in our science, the FDA went ahead and in fact did epidemiological projections. These values are right out of the proposed rule, completely improper in regards to what we've done. John has pointed out that when you do an epidemiological analysis of even the simplest form, you need four numbers. You need a numerator and a denominator among the population that's taking the product. The only thing Food and Drug has is a suspect number as the numerator. It doesn't have a denominator, and it doesn't have a numerator and a denominator to use in the general public that has not been taking the product.

The last thing that I would like to refer to on the handout is just a few simple facts about Ma Huang ephedra. This is an herb that's been used by the Chinese extensively. We're talking about hundreds of millions of people over the centuries have been treated with this herb. At levels three to 10 times greater than the levels of ephedra and ephedrine that are found in these herbal dietary supplement products, there has been no report of adverse effects in our medical literature as well as the Chinese medical literature at these dose levels.

Ma Huang contains a number of ephedra alkaloids, one of which is ephedrine. This was isolated 75 years ago. It's been extensively used in Western medicine. We know what the pharmacology and toxicology are, and the AER database is inconsistent with what our experience is for the last 75 years.

I don't know how many of you are aware of the fact that there are over-the-counter products containing ephedrine, the principal alkaloid in ephedra. Primatene is one. Bronchaid is another. These asthmatics have been taking these products, some of them probably for decades, along with the ubiquitous intake of caffeine in coffee and cola beverages. There is no incidence comparable to the incidence of AERs connected with ephedra- containing products associated with Bronchaid and with Primatene.

Basically, where are the bodies? Where are the cases in regards to these products? They're not there. And it's a gross inconsistency and an ideological situation that exists in regards to what Food and Drug has been trying to do.

Wes has just made note of the fact that perhaps another group of AERs are going to be released by the Food and Drug Administration tomorrow. We don't know really what the total number is, but we've had an opportunity to preliminarily look at that database. That database is still an inadequate database, and will not materially change our opinion in regards to the worthlessness of this system.

Thank you.

MR. SIEGNER: Thank you, Ted.

Our next speaker is Norbert Page. Norbert's going to address the adverse event reports that we suspect are coming out tomorrow. We have obtained a copy a couple of weeks ago from the Hill. Let me add a couple of caveats concerning that. We know that the adverse events that FDA will release tomorrow are included in this set. We're not sure exactly which ones they're going to pick out of the set that we have reviewed.

But nonetheless, the review that both John Hathcock has done on behalf of CRN -- and we'll give a chance for him to talk about that in a minute -- and Dr. Page and Dr. Farber have done will include whatever sets that FDA releases tomorrow. So Dr. Page's comments are relevant to that data set.

MR. PAGE: Thank you, Wes. It's a pleasure being with you. As Wes has indicated, we have started our scientific analysis of this group of 140 of the AERs. And what I want to do is sort of walk you through the process of how we're analyzing the AERs and some of the things that should be looked for in doing an analysis.

I might mention to you that the type of analysis that we performed is basically the hazard evaluation and the risk assessment that's routinely used in federal agencies. Dr. Farber and I have both had the responsibility of conducting risk assessments for many years. And so I think we know the procedures quite well.

Basically, there are two steps to doing a risk assessment. You've already heard a little bit about this. The first step is obtaining reliable data, so that you can basically bring together critical facts and a number of cases which can be analyzed. And then, from this analysis, you go to the second step, and that is to determine or ask the question: Are the instances of the alleged effects greater than that expected in the non-exposed populations?

John has called that the Control Group, and that's what it's normally referred to -- Control or Reference Group. Now the risk assessment procedure involved is basically what's known as a weight of evidence approach. This is gathering all the information and weighing it.

Basically, where is the beef?, what is the weight? Is there a risk? How great is this risk? And does the risk outweigh the benefits? This type analysis is needed for a scientific basis for any government regulatory action.

The federal review. Let me step back just a little bit and talk about the process of evaluating individual reports. Because I think that's very critical to this whole analysis. A number of these issues have already been addressed, so I'll try to go through 'em a little quicker.

First of all, we look for exposure information. Was there indeed consumption of ephedra? Was the product clearly identified? Do we really know that the person had consumed the product?

If we know this, then, let's then ask when was it consumed and what was the dose-level, frequency and the duration? And on this line, keep in mind that ephedrine does not remain in the body very long. It leaves the body fairly quickly. That's the reason asthmatics will take tablets four times a day, just to keep their blood level up. And so this gets important when you analyze the temporal relationship: how long before the event was the product actually consumed, if it was?

I can't emphasize more highly that exposure history is important. Without an exposure, of course, any effects cannot be related totally to that lack of exposure.

Second point. Is the alleged effect biologically plausible? Let me explain what we mean by this. Is the effect one for which there is already existing clinical or laboratory data that shows that the effects can be caused by the substance? I think we all know that substances vary in their biological effect. That's the way pharmaceuticals are directed toward one specific organ or disease versus another.

I'll give you one example of the current AERs. It involves a woman that noticed that her abdomen was enlarged two weeks after she started consuming the dietary supplement. It turned out that she had an ovarian tumor, which was surgically removed.

However, she submitted an AER, claiming that the supplement did it. I think we all know that tumors don't arise that fast. It's certainly not going to come up in two weeks. Tumors usually take anywhere from many months to several years from the time they start to becoming a clinical problem.

Now one can only speculate that that woman's dietary plan may -- she may have reduced her weight to the point now that the abdominal swelling became noticeable. Chances are it was a coincidence, that there's no relationship between the tumor and the dietary supplement. However, we have an AER that has been submitted alleging this. FDA did not filter this out of the group of 140.

Okay, the third point I want to get to is that there can be other risk factors that should be considered. Now, to analyze for this, we need two key types of information. Good medical histories and the patients. And then also a good family history.

Let's go into the medical history first. Medical history and records can be quite revealing. It often shows that the alleged effects in fact existed prior to the person's consuming the supplement.

Let me illustrate this just a little bit. one situation. We've seen a number of reports where individuals had pre-existing hypertension, but they reported that they had hypertension as a result of using a recent dietary supplement. You have to take into consideration whether in fact there is a relationship between the most recent exposure to the supplement, or was it just by coincidence it just happened? It had no relationship to the supplemental use.

Were there other pre-existing risk factors, such as medicines that were being taken at the time? I'm couching a number of questions that we go through mentally in doing this analysis. Now was the person obese and fasting? Was the person engaged in very strenuous exercise programs? Was there an underlying medical condition that should be considered, such as diabetes? Was the person a smoker? What other products was the person exposed to?

That's about all I want to give as an overview. But I think what I want to transmit is this is a fairly complex analysis that basically has to be performed before we can give any type of good credibility to the particular reports.

MR. SIEGNER: Okay. We're running a little over on the presentations here. And I don't want to deprive people of the opportunity to ask questions. John Hathcock has some winding-up comments, but I think that he best address those in the context of questions from the press.

And with that, why don't we take some questions and I can parse them out. Go ahead. Yes.

Q Dr. Hathcock, the news release from your organization says that you have made a study. I wonder if you could tell us if that study indicate any deaths? If so, how many? Or what we would commonly refer to as serious illnesses? If so, how many? And your analysis? Would you share with us the details of your analysis?

MR. HATHCOCK: The 140 cases represent everything from reported diarrhea followed by constipation to death. We recognize that there are some 10 cases of fatalities, several of stroke and other serious events.

When you look at those with regard to the criteria for causality and for compounding and missing data, we find often either missing or even conflicting information about dosage. In one particular case of a young man who had a seizure, while he was being incapacitated by that, his wife asserted that he took the product strictly by label, according to the label instructions. After he had recovered somewhat, he acknowledged that he had been taking a handful several times a day, and that's a quote.

So there's all kinds of information about various levels of adverse events, ranging from trivial and non-specific to major. And the issue is what is those rates among the general population who is not taking the product.

Thank you.

MR. SIEGNER: Yes.

Q I don't know exactly who should respond to it.

At the hearing before Congress in 1997, either just before or just after this new rule was proposed, the head of pharmacology at Georgetown University Medical Center stated in the last sentence of his remarks, of his testimony was that it is clear that ephedrine or ephedra products cause some ventricular or fibrillation, or some kind of rapid heartbeat that is very dangerous, and that that is why dosage, or whatever, should be eliminated.

Do you agree with that? Do you recall what I'm talking about? I'm not with the data, but the potential danger of causing heart problems, rapid heart beat; for example, the kind that killed Elvis Presley. Is that true that this product can do that? Or do you completely reject the testimony of this doctor?

MR. SIEGNER: Let me just frame the event, and then I think I'll let Dr. Farber handle the question, because he was at the event and also testified.

I believe you're referring to a hearing before the House Commerce Committee or Government Reform Committee that occurred last May. And --

Q No, I think this was prior. This was prior. This was not before -- I don't know if it was prior --

MR. SIEGNER: Okay. I believe the same individual -- Dr. Woolsey (ph) is the individual --

Q That's correct.

MR. SIEGNER: -- from Georgetown testified.

Q I looked it up in my records. So I couldn't find it.

MR. SIEGNER: Right. Okay. And I believe that I wasn't at the one that you were talking about, but he's probably testified as to the same information at the hearing that I was at and Ted was at, Dr. Farber. So anyway, I understand, you know, who it is and what was said. And with that, I'll let Dr. Farber respond to the issue of whether this is medically plausible.

MR. FARBER: The House Government Oversight Committee meeting which was held in May of last year -- I testified at that hearing, and so did Dr. Raymond Woolsey. My recollection of his testimony -- he made a statement that as far he was concerned, there was no safe dose of ephedra.

Q That's correct.

MR. FARBER: Congressman Burton asked me for my opinion in regards to that statement. That's contrary to just about the most basic tenet of the science of toxicology. And basically, to sum it up, the dose makes the poison. Everything on God's Green Earth has some toxicity associated with it at some dose. But also, there's a safe level for everything in God's Green Universe. And for somebody to make that kind of statement basically indicates that he's way off base in regards to even the most fundamental concepts in toxicology. I believe Dr. Woolsey also served on the Working Force Committee, the second one, that Food and Drug put together. This was the committee that made the judgment in regards to what a dangerous level of ephedrine was based upon 13 cases, six of which had no medical records. And there were two deaths associated with those 13, one of which was at an enormous dose level, certainly not connected with the eight milligrams that they set as the limit. And the other death there was caused by a product that did not contain any ephedrine whatsoever.

MR. SIEGNER: Other questions.

Q What are some of the products that contain ephedrine? What are some of the popular dietary supplements that have ephedrine in it?

MR. SIEGNER: Well, with respect to name brands that people would recognize, there are products that are marketed for weight loss, including -- I think probably the most widely known is metabolites product and other products. There's also a product -- products marketed through the GNC stores. It's hard -- I don't want to pick out any single product. There are really hundreds of these products available in health food stores and in drug stores. And you know, the best thing to do, in terms of getting samples, is to go out and get them.

Q -- cough cold products? Most cough cold products available OTC contain ephedra or ephedrine.

MR. SIEGNER: It contains pseudoephedrine. The pseudoephedrine is approved as a decongestant.

Q Is that the same family or -- ?

MR. SIEGNER: It's the same family of alkaloids, that's correct. And ephedrine is actually used -- approved for use in nasal topical decongestants also as products -- bronchial dilators for asthma.

Q Are they in the same category that's being discussed here?

MR. SIEGNER: It's a different -- that's a different category. They're regulated as drugs under the over-the-counter drug monographs. They all contain synthetic ephedrine and pseudoephedrine, whereas the products we're talking about are regulated as dietary supplements -- not under the over-the-counter monogram, but as foods and supplements.

Q So metabolized GNC, weight loss products. Can you be anywhere more specific?

MR. SIEGNER: Weight loss products, energy products. Are there other questions.

Q Do you agree that there should be surveillance of these products? And if so, how should the system work if it's not working properly now?

MR. SIEGNER: Well, I think there's two questions there. Yes, industry is very much supportive of both surveillance, in terms of having a good adverse event monitoring system. And the problem right now that we have is that there's information going into the system, but the information isn't being properly handled. And most disturbing to industry and I think to the public overall is you can't get information out of the system.

We have had requests for adverse event reports into FDA for over two years. And we have not received responses to those requests. But also, with respect to the information-in, information-out, FDA has a website which was part of this hearing last year that Congressman Burton held. And the problem there is that you have events posted on an Internet website, such as "death" or "seizure" or "stroke" with a product named and ingredients with no other information.

And you can't -- you know, companies first become aware that there may have been a report on their product by going to the FDA website. But then they can't get the background information; they can't find out more information in order to make any responsible judgments. So, yes, we need a good monitoring system.

The other question you had is, you know, what do we do if it's not working. Well, one of the things that we believe is that the standards that industry has put in place have actually worked. And you know, that will maybe come out as we evaluate the AERs more and work with FDA on that. But the information that's coming certainly into industry through their systems is that there really is no significant level of adverse reports with the products when they are properly labeled or properly used.

Q Could you repeat that last sentence?

MR. SIEGNER: The last sentence. Is that our information is that companies, through their monitoring systems -- and some of these companies do have very good monitoring systems -- have information that shows that when the products are properly used and properly labeled that they are safe.

Q If the system is in place, what is it that they need to do more? More personnel to do the follow-up, to insure that all of the boxes are ticked off on information?

MR. SIEGNER: That's correct. We would like, when information comes in, to have follow-up to get the boxes, as you say, ticked off. FDA has always recognized that the system works best when you get reports from health professionals, because they know how to ask the proper questions, how to give the proper information.

There is a problem. You know, I don't think the system is going to discourage consumers from reporting. But there is a problem overall with consumer reports. They tend to be inaccurate, incomplete and as Ted said, anecdotal. Sometimes you get reports from friends or relatives where they really have almost no information. But that gets chalked up as an adverse event report associated with a particular product.

Also obviously, we would like to see more attention paid to once you get the appropriate information in make it accessible to the public.

Q -- so many more than 140. What is the time frame that you're discussing?

MR. FARBER: Well, this was the first batch of AERs that was utilized by the agency to support the proposed rule. Initially they --

Q [Off-mike, inaudible remark.]

MR. SIEGNER: I think it was approximately '93 through June of '97.

MR. FARBER: There were first 800 and some odd, and then some -- about 100 and some odd additional were added to the pile. So we looked at 923 of them. And both Norbert and I looked at every one of those, looking for the adequacy of the data. And sort of kicking and screaming, we did our own causality analysis, because - - I say kicking and screaming because the database was so inadequate. We were scientifically reluctant to do a causality analysis. But we did it anyway, trying to do something with the data. And there is nothing there in that first batch that alarmed us. And frankly, our preliminary analysis of this 140 or 134 AERs really don't change our attitude.

Q If you could just stay there for a moment. If I add these numbers up very quickly, they look like they add up to maybe about 2,000 AERs from '93 to '97. And now you're saying there's only 140 that are the subject since 1997? Is that -- ?

MR. FARBER: Well, I believe it adds up to 923. But now there's an additional 140 or 134. It's not on that list. We haven't analyzed that. We've looked at it preliminarily. We have not had the time to do the kind of detailed analysis that was performed in regards to the 923.

MR. SIEGNER: Let me just respond to the confusion on this chart. The numbers reflected there aren't intended to add up to 900. What that is a representation is out of the 900, how many are missing medical records? How many are missing dosing information? So you will get some that are missing both and add up to a higher number.

MR. SIEGNER: Yes, sir.

Q Could you answer the question of the economics of this? Some number or how much in dollars is spent in retail on these type of products that you're talking about?

MR. FARBER: I think Wes would be more the person to respond to that question.

MR. SIEGNER: We're in the process of gathering better information, so the numbers I will give you are fairly -- fairly rough. But our understanding is that there's somewhere in the neighborhood of three billion servings per year of these products being sold at this time. I would guess that the retail sales of these products are in the neighborhood of several hundred million to a billion dollars.

Okay. I guess I'm being told we need to wrap up. Should I take one more, or -- okay. Okay, yeah, and we'll stay behind and be happy to answer further questions, sure.

Q Two very short questions. The numbers 134 and 140 new AERs have been thrown around. Can you be more specific as to which number is accurate?

MR. SIEGNER: Tell you exactly? I'm not sure we've done an AER count. I'll let John answer that.

MR. HATHCOCK: Well, one of us at the Council for Responsible Nutrition was talking with a Center Director for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition at FDA, and he used the nice, round number of 140. I assumed he was generalizing, because when the records that came to me add up to 134. So I don't know if he was rounding off or if there's something that's a surprise.

Q And as a follow-up to that, can you give us an idea of how many different types of products were involved in those 134 -- ?

MR. HATHCOCK: Some -- two products add up for about half of the total. There's a wide scattering, and I don't have the number of the -- the total number of the different products that were involved, but certainly it must have been in the neighborhood of a dozen or more.

And the thing that is astonishing to me is that some of the individuals were not only taking multiple products, but taking a huge number of multiple products. One individual listed as taking 83 different products during the last year. I find that astonishing financially, if not otherwise. (Laughter.)

MR. SIEGNER: I guess that wraps it up. And again, we'd be happy to stay around, and we will stay around to answer further questions.

Thank you.

[END OF EVENT.]


 

 


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